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Odds and Probabilities: Odds Formats and Implied Probability

There are three main odds representations used by most bookmakers and betting websites. Let’s run through some examples of Decimal odds, Fractional Odds and American Odds:

Fractional Odds

Our Bet Calculator allows you to automatically calculate the Payout for any given combination of Stake and Odds, including Multiples. Enter the Stake and Odds for your bet and the Bet Calculator will automatically calculate the Payout. Add Odds for Multiples. There are many math tricks that people use, even in daily life, to quickly calculate a fraction or percentage. Take the 5 or 9 on the craps table. It is similar to figuring out 15% at a restaurant. In craps, the odds on 5 or 9 pay 3 to 2. Whatever the odds placed, divide it by 2, and add that to the original number. So $24 odds pays $12 + $24. Sportsbooks automatically calculate parlay payouts for you, or you can use our parlay calculator above. Here’s how the math works. Convert the American odds to decimal odds using our odds converter. Multiply the decimal odds together to get your multiplier. Multiply the multiplier by your bet amount.

This odds format is used primarily in the United Kingdom & Republic of Ireland. Fractional odds quote the potential profit which can be made on a bet if it wins, relative to the stake.
For example if $500 is bet at odds of 2/1 the potential profit is $1000 ($500 * 2) and the total returned is $1500 ($1000 plus the $500 stake).
Decimal Odds
Decimal betting odds reflect the potential return if a bet succeeds, relative to the stake placed.

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For example if £$ is bet at odds of 3.0 the total returned is $15 ($5 * 3)- and the potential profit is £10 ($5 * 3 minus the initial $5 stake).
American Odds
  • Positive American Odds: These odds reflect how much you win on a single $100 bet. For example, a positive American odds @ +110 would win $110 for a $100 wager.
  • Negative American Odds: The odds indicate how much you must bet in order to make $100 profit. For example a wager on a team with American odds of -90 would win $100 on a $90 bet.
Implied Probability
Odds correlate to probability e.g a 2/1 bet is expected to win twice in every 3 attempts, hence the probability is 33.33%.

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How to read Super Bowl 55 Odds

The Kansas City Chiefs wil meet the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Super Bowl 55 from Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Florida on Feb. 7, 2021.

The Chiefs opened as -3.5 betting favorites while the Buccaneers are 3.5 underdogs.

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After early wagers came in, most operators are holding Kansas City -3 (-120).

If you were to wager on Kansas City -3, you would have to lay 5/6 odds (Bet $120 to win $100) instead of your normal 10/11 juice (Bet $110 to win $100).

The return on Tampa Bay would be even-money (1/1) and a $100 wager would return $100.

The total or over-under on Super Bowl 55 is hovering between 56 and 57 points.

How to read NFL Las Vegas Odds

The point-spread was developed to provide a balance for both teams involved in a contest to entice bettors to potentially back the weaker team and receive points. The two squads in a game are listed with a title, either a favorite or an underdog. The favorite is usually the perceived better team in the game, as backing them means giving up several points.

The favorite is always listed with a minus (-) sign before the point-spread while the underdog is labeled with a plus (+) label.

Ex. Favorite -10, Underdog +10

On the VegasInsider.com odds page, there is another number associated with the favorite and its listed as -10. This number is simply defined as “vig” or what many in the sports betting industry call vigorish. Another common term is called “juice” and it’s technically the price the bettor has to pay on a straight wager.

Ex. Bet $110 to win $100 (10% juice)
Ex. Bet $100 to win $90.91 (10% juice)

It's not uncommon to see other values posted other than -10. Examples seen on the NFL Vegas Odds pages could include -08, -12, -15 and -20. The -10 price is the most common value in the industry while many books offer reduced 'juice odds' and that would fall into the -08 category.

The lower-juice sportsbooks are normally found outside of the state Nevada. If you are in a state where sports betting is legal, please check out our online sportsbook directory to find the best and most secure places to make NFL bets.

Another number that’s posted on the NFL Las Vegas is the total or ‘over/under’ for the specific matchup. If the favorite is designated as the home team, then the total will be listed above and vice versa if the visitors are favorites.

All of the above numbers are listed next to the teams, and before each matchup is a Rotation number. The NFL Las Vegas Odds are listed in order of rotation and those numbers are generated and produced by the sportsbooks. Above each matchup and rotation is the Time of the game, which is subject to change. All game times are Eastern Standard Time.

NFL Open Line

One of the best features on the NFL Vegas Odds is the Open Line. This numbers consists of the first betting line received from one of our Las Vegas or Global Sportsbooks. The opening line varies depending on the sportsbook but it provides a clear-cut rating that the oddsmakers use. If you’re betting on the NFL or any other sport, it’s a great idea to view the open line first.

VI Consensus NFL Line

The VegasInsider.com Consensus NFL Line is just as important as the Open Line and also a key resource on odds platform. The Consensus column could be called a “Median Line” since it shows the most consistent number provided by the sportsbooks on VegasInsider.com. The consensus line will be the same as the open line but once the wagers start coming in, this number is often different than the openers.

How do I bet on the Super Bowl?

We know that you can bet on the Super Bowl and all of NFL Futures or bet on the NFL Draft at any time of the year, but what’s the process? The future wager or the “Odds to Win” bet on the Super Bowl is correctly selecting a team to win an event that takes place at a later time. A bettor will have his wagered money tied up until there is an outcome and bettors will receive fixed odds when they place the wager. In the case of the Super Bowl, you’re not a winner or loser until you see zeros on the clock in the final game.

Most sportsbooks offer different ways to read to Super Bowl Odds. In the fractional NFL Futures Odds format below, you simply take the odds and multiply by the amount wagered.

Ex. Green Bay (8/1) to win the Super Bowl

The Packers are listed as an 8/1 betting choice to win the Super Bowl. If you wager $100 on Green Bay to win the NFC and they capture the championship, then you would win $800 (8 ÷ 1 x 100). Your online betting account would then credit your account $900, which includes your win and stake ($100).

The American Format would see Green Bay listed at +800 and for the Decimal Format, the Packers would be 9.00.

If you are in a state where online betting is legal, we encourage you to check out our sportsbook directory to find the most trustworthy and reputable sites and mobile apps to place your Super Bowl bets.